Video: cognitive bias and tossing coins

Using jars of sweets and tossing coins, Andrew Sharman explains how probability works in relation to accident – the mental Read More

Reality is not what it seems: probability in practice

By David Towlson I have been refreshing my memory recently on Bayes’ theorem. It’s named after the Reverend Bayes. He Read More

Probability case study: the Paddington rail crash

Phil Chambers BSc, CMIOSH Strategic Safety Systems Ltd: For another real example of how probabilities combine to create an incident, I'll take the Paddington rail crash. This was caused by a train outbound from Paddington going through a red signal (SN 109) and colliding with the inbound train. Read More

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